Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.155821 0.184128 0.215729 0.253566 0.297582 0.347116 0.407028
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.110153 0.146174 0.190848 0.250089 0.326324 0.420845 0.546617
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.085721 0.124705 0.177228 0.252639 0.357519 0.497506 0.697656
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067925 0.106829 0.163034 0.249278 0.377191 0.558569 0.833535
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.057685 0.097058 0.157463 0.255567 0.409225 0.638489 1.003489
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.048253 0.086387 0.148199 0.253909 0.427839 0.699482 1.151270
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.040114 0.076121 0.137558 0.247786 0.437574 0.746665 1.281643
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.033445 0.067060 0.127262 0.240236 0.443164 0.786738 1.403684
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.029848 0.062910 0.124759 0.245598 0.471003 0.866018 1.598780
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026573 0.058752 0.121509 0.248911 0.495203 0.941061 1.793770
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023528 0.054486 0.117341 0.249727 0.514546 1.008998 1.982432
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021196 0.051296 0.114778 0.253206 0.539132 1.088640 2.200042
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019472 0.049213 0.114329 0.261224 0.574266 1.192997 2.477502
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016793 0.044449 0.107447 0.254749 0.579136 1.239390 2.647951
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015100 0.041722 0.104636 0.256693 0.601811 1.323407 2.901610
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013280 0.038321 0.099725 0.253138 0.611979 1.382601 3.110109
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012272 0.036836 0.099127 0.259485 0.644877 1.492595 3.435300
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010954 0.034254 0.095416 0.257796 0.659039 1.563505 3.683352
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009591 0.031266 0.090193 0.251583 0.661680 1.609087 3.880034
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008347 0.028366 0.084726 0.243924 0.659784 1.644035 4.055970
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007766 0.027369 0.084267 0.249363 0.691081 1.758623 4.424946
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007164 0.026186 0.083103 0.252724 0.717459 1.864096 4.782270
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006539 0.024797 0.081126 0.253551 0.737308 1.955718 5.114985